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Wind SeiryuuTier 2

at Weatherlight Grand Archive DTR Store Championship

decks
6 (12.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
32 12-16-4
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.5% avg ELO -3.1 per match
expected value
47.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1356 · median 1374 · range 1164–1488 (6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058 Q1 1207 Q3 1420 1513
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 10.6% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 36.7% -12.8
Fire Crux Lorraine 8.5% 5 3-2-0 60.0% 55.6% 49.3% -0.4
Fire Aggro 6.4% 6 2-4-0 33.3% 40.0% 46.2% -2.0
Fire Crux Mage 6.4% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 38.2% -8.8
Water Aetherwing 6.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.2% +11.6
Wind Allies 6.4% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 50.0% -0.0
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.3% 0
Fire Suited 4.3% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 41.9% -5.2
Fire Suzaku 4.3% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 38.4% -8.6
Water Umbra Guardian 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.1% +11.4
Wind Astra Cleric 4.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.3% -20.3
Fire Arcane 2.1% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 2.1% 0
Fire Exia 2.1% 0
Fire Slimes 2.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 54.6% +7.4
Water Allies 2.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.6% +17.0
Water Fractal 2.1% 0
Wind Arcane 2.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.8% -19.5
Wind Byakko 2.1% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 2.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.3% +6.9
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.1% 0
Decklists · 6 from this event

JSON: /api/events/31453/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu